Decoding the ECMWF Forecast: A Record-Strength El Niño 2026?
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) is globally recognized for its highly accurate, medium-range atmospheric modeling. Their April 1 ensemble runs delivered a striking warning to the meteorological community. The models project that sea surface temperatures in the critical Niño 3.4 region could surge to +2.5°C above the historical average by October 2026….