Winter Temperature Outlook For 2023-24 Has El Niño's Signature

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El Niño is a climate pattern that occurs when the waters of the Pacific Ocean near the equator become warmer than average.

This can have a significant impact on weather patterns around the world, including in the United States.

Winter temperature outlook for the United States shows warmer-than-average conditions in the north and cooler-than-average conditions in the south.

The outlook shows that winter could begin much warmer than average from the Northern Plains to the Great Lakes and Northeast.

Cities like Minneapolis, Chicago, Boston, and New York City are all currently favored to have temperatures the farthest above average.

The southern tier of the U.S. should see temperatures pretty close to what's typical.

The southern U.S. could skew somewhat colder than average to start the new year.

A hallmark of El Niño is cool, wet conditions in parts of the southern states in the heart of winter, and that's what the outlook is showing from the Southern Plains to Georgia and the Carolinas.

It's not a guarantee, but that combination of ingredients could increase the chances of snow and ice in portions of this region.

Parts of the Northwest and Northeast have the highest odds for above-average temperatures in January.

Winter's final full month could feature a colder East, warmer West split. In February, the core of the warmest temperatures compared to average could be in the Northwest and northern Rockies.

The best chance for colder-than-average temperatures might be from the Southeast to the mid-Atlantic.

There are a few factors that could change the winter forecast.

One is the strength of the atmospheric response to El Niño.

Another factor that could change the forecast is the possibility of a weakened polar vortex later in winter.

Finally, the recent spike in global warmth could also influence the magnitude of warmer and colder periods.

The winter temperature outlook for the United States is for warmer-than-average conditions in the north and cooler-than-average conditions in the south.

Conclusion

However, there are factors that could change the forecast, such as the strength of the atmospheric response to El Niño and the possibility of a weakened polar vortex later in winter.

It is important to stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts and to be prepared for all types of winter weather.