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California's Wildfire Season is Shifting
New research shows climate change is fundamentally altering when fires ignite across North America.
Extended Danger in the West
In California and the arid West, the fire season is stretching deep into late fall and winter.
Earlier Starts in the North
Northern boreal forests in Alaska and Canada now face earlier snowmelt, leading to spring fires.
Tracking 20 Years of Data
Scientists analyzed NASA satellite data from 2001 to 2020 to map these shifting burn patterns.
Stability in the Prairies
Unlike the West, North American prairies have seen minimal changes in their seasonal fire timing.
Health Impacts of Smoke
Predicting these shifts is vital for managing the severe health risks posed by wildfire smoke.
Future Scenarios are Dire
High-emission models suggest California's season could extend by more than a full month.
Devastating Recent Records
Canada saw its worst wildfire season in 2023, followed by another severe year in 2025.
The Human Factor
While climate drives the season, 85% of wildland fires are still caused by human acts.
Preparing for the 'Pyrocene'
Understanding regional shifts helps authorities allocate resources for the worst windows of risk.
Read the Full Research
Source: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL121153